Standard-award (Asia Miles) seat availability vs. live cash availability on Cathay-operated nonstop flights, from Cathay's public feeds. Exact award seats recovered by passenger-count probing.
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Cash vs redemption
Drop the last leg ✦
Cathay nonstop, both directions, all four cabins. Each square = a departure date; colour = standard-award seats bookable (1–9+). Empty squares with a blue underline are weekends; vertical lines mark month starts. Hover any square for the weekday, seat count and mileage tier. Flight chips show the daily nonstops (toggle All / individual times). Note: the public award & cash feeds report availability per day (all flights combined), not per individual flight — per-flight seat counts live only in the session-locked booking engine.
Geography pattern — % of bookable days with award space
All nonstop destinations, both directions. Where Business collapses to ~0% while Economy stays high, premium-cabin redemption is effectively switched off for that geography.
Pick your exact departure date from Hong Kong and return date to Hong Kong. Every tracked city — the complete Cathay-metal nonstop network (77 cities, probe-verified Jul 2026) — is checked in both directions, all four cabins, for standard-award space on those two dates. A green-outlined cell = round-trip bookable in that cabin (≥1 award seat on both legs). A 0 can mean no award released or no CX nonstop operating that date (seasonal routes like Rome) — the public feed can't tell them apart. Hover a cell for seats, mileage tier, cash price and that day's flights; click a city name to open its full calendar. Toggle Table (fixed ✓ column per class: First · Biz · P Econ · Econ) or List (one row per city × class, filterable by class and available-only). The mixed classes toggle also counts trips whose legs are in different cabins (e.g. Business out · Economy back).
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Get an email when standard-award space appears for a city you're watching — one-way (either direction) or return, for a single date or a range. Checks run after every scrape (3× daily); you're emailed when a watched window's availability changes (new dates opening or seat counts moving), and the alert re-arms automatically if space disappears. Dates beyond the current 181-day booking window are fine — the rule starts matching the moment they roll into it.
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Business suppression index by region
Share of days with Business award space ÷ share with Economy award space (both directions). ~1.0 = business tracks economy (no premium gating); ~0 = business starved while economy open.
Free seats vs free redemptions — the unwritten release formula
For Business: cash % = days the cabin is sellable for cash (seats physically exist); award % = days redeemable with miles; release rate = award ÷ cash. A low release rate where cash is high means CX is flying the seats but withholding them from redemption. Read top (seats released ≈ as available) to bottom (seats exist, redemption withheld). Why days, not seats: award seat counts are recoverable (passenger-sweep), but Cathay exposes no cash seat-count anywhere — the cash feed is price-only and even the booking engine ships only the booking-class letter, never the inventory number — so a true seat-vs-seat ratio is impossible from CX data; this is the closest honest measure. Cash curves are city-level (the histogram has no airport granularity): both Shanghai airports share one Shanghai curve and both Tokyo airports one Tokyo curve, so those routes' release rates share a cash denominator.
The "drop the last leg" trick — New York ⇄ Hong Kong
Cathay withholds the standalone nonstop transpacific Business award seat (JFK⇄HKG ≈ 0 days in the public feed), but its
married-segment inventory logic releases that same long-haul seat when it's the through-leg of a connecting award
to deeper Asia. So you search JFK→HKG→[onward Asia city] in Business, book it, then phone to drop the final intra-Asia
segment — keeping the JFK→HKG Business seat that the nonstop search never shows. The trick needs an onward leg that does
have award space. Below: the gateway (what you want), the best onward "drop legs" (what makes it bookable), and the
VERIFIED per-date results from the booking engine — kept visually distinct from the onward-leg proxy so the
"possible" calendar is never mistaken for the real bookable signal.